Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.000250 0.000279 0.000310 0.000346 0.000387 0.000432 0.000485
2025-02-02 0.000203 0.000246 0.000296 0.000360 0.000441 0.000538 0.000665
2025-02-09 0.000168 0.000215 0.000275 0.000356 0.000466 0.000609 0.000812
2025-02-16 0.000146 0.000196 0.000263 0.000359 0.000497 0.000688 0.000978
2025-02-23 0.000128 0.000179 0.000250 0.000356 0.000516 0.000751 0.001130
2025-03-02 0.000116 0.000167 0.000241 0.000358 0.000542 0.000825 0.001307
2025-03-09 0.000105 0.000156 0.000232 0.000357 0.000561 0.000890 0.001481
2025-03-16 0.000092 0.000141 0.000215 0.000341 0.000554 0.000912 0.001581
2025-03-23 0.000085 0.000134 0.000210 0.000343 0.000577 0.000984 0.001782
2025-03-30 0.000082 0.000131 0.000212 0.000356 0.000620 0.001097 0.002077
2025-04-06 0.000075 0.000122 0.000202 0.000348 0.000623 0.001139 0.002240
2025-04-13 0.000067 0.000111 0.000187 0.000330 0.000606 0.001139 0.002316
2025-04-20 0.000063 0.000107 0.000184 0.000333 0.000630 0.001226 0.002599
2025-04-27 0.000061 0.000106 0.000187 0.000348 0.000681 0.001375 0.003053
2025-05-04 0.000056 0.000100 0.000180 0.000345 0.000693 0.001445 0.003337
2025-05-11 0.000053 0.000097 0.000178 0.000348 0.000720 0.001551 0.003731
2025-05-18 0.000050 0.000092 0.000172 0.000345 0.000732 0.001626 0.004065
2025-05-25 0.000047 0.000089 0.000169 0.000347 0.000756 0.001733 0.004505
2025-06-01 0.000045 0.000085 0.000165 0.000346 0.000773 0.001824 0.004925
2025-06-08 0.000041 0.000079 0.000155 0.000330 0.000754 0.001822 0.005072
2025-06-15 0.000039 0.000076 0.000153 0.000332 0.000777 0.001933 0.005587
2025-06-22 0.000038 0.000076 0.000155 0.000345 0.000830 0.002131 0.006427
2025-06-29 0.000036 0.000072 0.000149 0.000337 0.000828 0.002180 0.006790